Statements of the Global Village
Cooperation and Conflict - Monitoring how society adapts to change
During and after World War 2, when human society developed weapons that could destroy all of human society, the citizens of this planet became a global village. With over 12,000 nuclear weapons, environmental impacts, disease (viruses), and other global risks, the importance of the term Global Village cannot be understated.
This section discusses important topics and risks to organizations and individuals of this global village.
The human brain is still for small tribes (small social groups) and uses less energy when the people they interact with are similar. Human society is adapting quite well considering the quickness (on a human existence timescale) in which the world became a global village and nations had to get along.
DO: Change takes energy for the brain to predict. People who do not share similarities require more energy to understand. This energy is already under stress from trying to predict other inputs from the exponential.
Importance of the Global Village
It is important for human society to have the self awareness that they do live in a Global Village and more needs to be done that allow people to work together better. The risks are too great for human society. Organizations would collapse if society collapses. More disorder in the world creates more disorder in markets and human prosperity. Since we are witnessing more stress (due to the speed at which the world has become a global village), it is an important category for organizations to have on a Change Map.
1. How people interpret In-Group vs Out-Group will continue to be a risk to local, national, and world security. This risk is rising due to many of the reasons discussed within these pages.
As mentioned previously, the rate at which adaptation to change varies with each individual. As such, in a world of constant change, we should expect wide ranges in the way people react to their In-Groups and local culture change. A part of the population sees Out-Groups as a threat to their cultural survival (which then becomes physical survival in a persons mind). You see this in the rise of nationalism across the globe. Others have wider In-Groups and are fighting for a bigger tent. There is already conflict in the world for this reason and the escalation risks are extremely high. This will impact organizations in multiple ways.
2. Physical Survival and Cultural Survival intertwine. The changes in society will reflect the sum of the most influential people and their actions upon how they interpret physical and cultural survival. There will continue to be more unrest as there are wide ranges of worldviews within the global population.
Society is the sum of all the approach and avoid actions. However, the most influential individuals have much more impact on that daily math equation/sum. Predicting change in society means understanding who has this influence and monitoring their actions.
3. The speed at which human society can adapt to change and acknowledge and live with the Global Village will play important roles in the risks to organizations. Competition and cooperation along various hierarchies (along with In-Groups/Out-Groups) have extreme importance on the sum of daily human society.
It may be a Global Village, but it is separated within it. Hierarchy, who is an In-Group member, self-esteem, survival, these all play a role in tribes within this Global Village. We will discuss this in our Statecraft section below.
4. All the categories listed within this Adapting to Change section and how they intertwine will play an important roles in what happens every day within the Global Village.
Reflect on the following:
- Global competition and cooperation in the pursuit of energy and resources.
- Global competition and cooperation in the pursuit of knowledge and technology.
- Global competition and cooperation on taking care of the planet in which we all live.
- Global competition and cooperation for trade policy, money, and economic power.
Change Risk to Monitor in the Global Village
Who has the energy and resources?
Some nations simply will have a lot of resources that another nation needs. As nations, organizations, and individuals compete for excess energy, the risk of explosive conflict rises based on how people work together and the level (and extraction costs) of the resources. Hierarchy, self-esteem (national, organization, individual), InGroup vs OutGroup, and basic survival will play the roles on how conflict arises and the end results.
How are you monitoring global change? What are your top priorities to adapt in this changing world? How does your organization measure and improve employee and customer self-esteem along company hierarchy? How do you measure and monitor the balance of competition and cooperation between employees and customers?
What are the worldviews (and self-esteem levels) of the individuals on the world stage that have the most influence in societies daily equation?
Every person has their own worldview and opinion on how their world should be. However, due to way the world is, the actual power of most of society is very limited. Decisions by those with the most influence prevail. It is those with the most influence along with their worldviews that will dictate what happens every day. The existence of this equation reveals the importance of humans seeking to move up the power and influence hierarchy to get more control with their worldviews. The risk to organizations is the conflict that results in the competition of leadership worldviews. There is additional risk when those with higher influence in the world have psychopathic behaviors. (Reflect back to the exponential - if growth is not balanced, it sets up serious risks)
How does your organization measure/monitor how actions of industry and government leaders impact your bottom line results? How does your organization monitor internal and external influence and its impact on employee and customer approach/avoid actions? How does your organization monitor risky input growth - both internal to the organization and external?
Understanding global events is extremely complicated and requires a lot of energy to dissect and understand. More stress and energy drain will have individuals seeking simple answers to this complex world.
This statement really shows how the human brain is still in small tribe mode. It is not currently built to take on such complexity. People still need to understand the world to survive. As such, people will seek out answers, while at the same time, there is more stress which lowers the amount of energy to get the right answers. Us people good and Them people bad will continue to play a larger role in the Global Village. Simple answers will be more influential than complex explanations of what is happening.
How does your organization simplify complexity? How does your organization map, monitor, and address burnout caused by this high energy demand on the human brain?
Statecraft Section
A section dedicated to discussing how nations compete for resources and status (and trends)
Since this website is based out of the United States, we will focus on how US Statecraft can impact organizational brand along with customer and employee approach and avoid.
Big Picture from US perspective:
The United States has benefited from its location, its available resources, and its ability to have excess energy (both food and fossil fuels). Its location sheltered it from world war destruction and allowed it to use its military and currency to gain the highest spot on the nation hierarchy. Its water and land structure allowed it to grow excess food and obtain multiple energy sources for strength.
As mentioned in the Exponential section. Exponential increases the opportunity for change and risk in structural order. Every big decision counts and math wins. How the world stage plays out is important to organizations here in the United States. Interest rates, inflation, economic growth, social unrest, potential conflict, debt, and other major decisions coming out of Washington DC will be play out not only in these areas but also the branding of the United States itself along with its organizations to customers around the world (More Approach or More Avoid?).
Some stats and trends to watch for US organizations:
Growth> China, India, Russia and the BRICS, the total share of world output those countries produce is 35%. The G7 is down to about 28%
Population>
India - 1.46 billion (BRICS)
China - 1.41 billion (BRICS)
US - 347 million
Indonesia - 285 million (BRICS)
Pakistan - 255 million (applied to BRICS but has issues with India)
Nigeria - 237 million (partner country in BRICS)
Brazil - 212 million (BRICS)
DO: Reflecting from a math perspective, what is the equation of influence between both nations, organizations, and individuals of all the above listed countries and those slightly further down the list? Predicting potential change and risk involves understanding the influence math equation of top nations.
Xi’s Rare Earth ‘Bazooka’ Sparks Global Alarm, Race for Supplies 10/14/25
Global Village News
What we will be watching for this upcoming year
GLOBAL VILLAGE
How the global village works this year and in the coming years ahead depends a lot on the categories listed above. Building a more successful global village will take time. In 2025, we will be watching the aspects that separate the globe and the ones that bring it together. Managing global risks will take strong leadership. Here are a few items we will be watching in the coming year:
- All the major risks listed above in the Global Village category
- Trade wars - Global Politics
- How nations are getting along - highlight approach and avoidance
- Countries, Cities, and Organizations are Villages. We will also comment on this as well.
2025 Global Village Watch
Atomic scientists adjust 'Doomsday Clock' closer than ever to midnight
This article mixes in the Global Village (countries striving to get resources before other countries), the Environment (Greenland Ice melting from Climate Change opening up possibilities), and Resources (The competition for resources will continue to heat up)
The Risk of Nuclear War Continues to Rise
Important insight from this article:
"Putin capped the year by launching Russia’s new hypersonic ballistic missile against targets in Ukraine, while formally announcing a revised Russian nuclear doctrine that officially lowered the threshold for the use of nuclear weapons to meet a conventional threat to Russian territory. The revised doctrine also states that an attack against Russia by a non-nuclear power with the participation or support of a nuclear power will be seen as their joint attack on Russia."
